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CME Scoreboard: Prediction Detail

Prediction for CME (2014-06-19T19:24:00-CME-001)

CME Observed Time: 2014-06-19T19:24Z
iSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/5828/-1
CME Shock Arrival Time: 2014-06-23T22:00Z
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2014-06-22T07:00Z (-7.0h, +7.0h)
Prediction Method: WSA-ENLIL + Cone (Met Office)
Prediction Method Note:

Met Office ENLIL settings.
ENLIL version: 2.7
Resolution: medium-res (512x60x180) (X1=0.1-1.7/uniform X2=30.-150./uniform X3=0.-360./uniform)
Ambient settings: a3b2-sa1
WSA version: 2.2


Please specify following CME input parameters.
Time at 21.5Rs boundary: 2014-06-20T03:24Z 
Radial velocity (km/s): 880
Longitude (deg): 024E
Latitude (deg): 01S
Half-angular width (deg): 72


Notes: Initial run, based on SOHO Lasco C3 only. This impacts longitude estimate. Error bars based on typical ENLIL errors.
Space weather advisor: Michael Lawrence

Lead Time: 79.00 hour(s)
Difference: 39.00 hour(s)
Prediction submitted by Met Office (Met Office) on 2014-06-20T15:00Z

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